Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000117 0.000129 0.000143 0.000159 0.000176 0.000195 0.000217
2025-11-09 0.000097 0.000115 0.000134 0.000158 0.000186 0.000218 0.000259
2025-11-16 0.000083 0.000102 0.000126 0.000156 0.000193 0.000238 0.000298
2025-11-23 0.000072 0.000093 0.000120 0.000155 0.000201 0.000260 0.000340
2025-11-30 0.000064 0.000086 0.000115 0.000155 0.000210 0.000282 0.000386
2025-12-07 0.000057 0.000080 0.000110 0.000153 0.000215 0.000301 0.000428
2025-12-14 0.000052 0.000075 0.000107 0.000155 0.000226 0.000326 0.000482
2025-12-21 0.000048 0.000071 0.000104 0.000156 0.000234 0.000349 0.000534
2025-12-28 0.000044 0.000067 0.000101 0.000155 0.000239 0.000368 0.000580
2026-01-04 0.000041 0.000064 0.000099 0.000157 0.000250 0.000395 0.000642
2026-01-11 0.000038 0.000061 0.000097 0.000157 0.000257 0.000417 0.000699
2026-01-18 0.000036 0.000058 0.000094 0.000157 0.000262 0.000437 0.000753
2026-01-25 0.000033 0.000055 0.000092 0.000156 0.000268 0.000458 0.000811
2026-02-01 0.000031 0.000053 0.000089 0.000156 0.000274 0.000481 0.000876
2026-02-08 0.000029 0.000050 0.000086 0.000154 0.000278 0.000499 0.000934
2026-02-15 0.000027 0.000048 0.000084 0.000153 0.000283 0.000522 0.001002
2026-02-22 0.000025 0.000046 0.000083 0.000154 0.000291 0.000547 0.001078
2026-03-01 0.000023 0.000044 0.000080 0.000152 0.000294 0.000566 0.001143
2026-03-08 0.000022 0.000042 0.000079 0.000154 0.000304 0.000599 0.001239
2026-03-15 0.000021 0.000041 0.000078 0.000155 0.000312 0.000627 0.001328
2026-03-22 0.000020 0.000039 0.000076 0.000154 0.000316 0.000648 0.001403
2026-03-29 0.000019 0.000038 0.000076 0.000156 0.000327 0.000685 0.001517
2026-04-05 0.000018 0.000037 0.000075 0.000156 0.000334 0.000714 0.001616